Mesoscale Dynamics and Predictability Group Symposium, Summer 2014

August 14-15, 2014 in 529 Walker


Day 1: Thursday, August 14, 2014 (529 Walker)


08:30 – 08:45 Upload talks, Fuqing introduction


Section 1 Chair: Erin B. Munsell

Groupmeeting08142014_Tao.pptx

08:45 – 09:00 Dandan Tao: “Dynamics and Predictability of Tropical Storm Gabrielle (2013)”

AReyes_Aug14th.pdf

09:00 – 09:15 Ashford Reyes: "A Comparison of the Initial Development and Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010) and Tropical Storm Mathew (2010)"

Donglin-OBEST.pptx

09:15 – 09:30 Dong Lin: "Observation-Based Ensemble Sub-setting Technique for Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction"


09:30 – 09:45 BREAK!


Section 2 Chair: Yongqiang Sun

20140814PennStateQ.pptx

09:45 – 10:00 Qinghong Zhang: “The Influence of Atmospheric Circulation on the Occurrence of Hail in China”

JWEI_groupmeeting_20140813.pdf

10:00 – 10:15 Junhong Wei: “Estimation of Gravity Wave Momentum and Drag from High-Resolution Idealized Baroclinic Wave Simulations”

Shoujuan_Shu.pptx

10:15 – 10:30 Shoujuan (Jennifer) Shu: "Factors controlling genesis of Super-Typhoon Haiyan (2013) Part II: Numerical Simulations"


10:30 – 10:45 Group Photos (Weather Center; 6th Floor)


Section 3 Chair: Ying Yue

Zhiyong_Meng_targetOBS.pptx

10:45 – 11:00 Zhiyong Meng: On the Targeting Observation of Mesoscale Convective Vortex

08-14-14_Sieron_GroupMeeting.pptx

11:00 – 11:15 Scott Sieron: Toward Radiance Assimilation of Tropical Cyclones in an Ensemble Framework

YunYe_Groupmeeting0814.pptx

11:15 – 11:30 Ye Yun: Mitigating atmospheric effects in Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) measurement by WRF model and EnKF


11:30 – 12:30 Discussion & Pizza Lunch


13:00 – 14:00 Erin Munsell -- PhD Oral Comprehensive Exam (103 Walker) "Dynamics and predictability of tropical cyclones evaluated through convection-permitting ensemble analysis and forecasts with airborne radar and sounding observations"


Day 2: Friday, August 15, 2014 (529 Walker)


08:30 – 08:45 Upload talks, Fuqing introduction


Section 1 Chair: Christopher Melhauser

Qiang.pptx

08:45 – 09:00 Yongqiang Sun: Error Growth Dynamics of Moist Baroclinic Waves

Zhang_20140814_Intrinsic_Predictability_Mesoscale.pptx

09:00 – 09:15 Yunji Zhang: "Intrinsic Predictability of the Tornadic Thunderstorm Event on 20 May 2013 in Oklahoma"

HansChen.pdf

09:15 – 09:30 Hans Chen: "Dynamics and predictability of atmospheric response to reduced Arctic sea ice through ensemble sensitivity analysis"


09:30 – 09:45 BREAK!


Section 2 Chair: Junhong Wei

ShuguangWang_Aug_2014_PSU_upload.ppt

09:45 – 10:15 Shuguang Wang: A Case Study of the October and November MJO Events Observed during CINDY/DYNAMO Field Campaign

PSU_Presentation_HannahBarnes.pptx

10:15 – 10:30 Hannah Barnes: “A Conceptual Model for the Hydrometeor Structure of Mesoscale Convective Systems during the MJO Active Stage”


10:30 – 10:45 BREAK!


Section 3 Chair: Hans Chen

Steven_Greybush.pptx

10:45 – 11:00 Steven Greybush: Lake Effect Snow: Ensemble Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Predictability

MichaelYing.pdf

11:00 – 11:15 Yue Ying: An Adaptive Covariance Relaxation Method for Ensemble Data Assimilation

bwg_WWOSC14_v0e.pptx

11:15 – 11:30 Benjamin Green: "Idealized LES of a TC-like boundary layer and WRF-LES of Hurricane Katrina (2005)"


11:30 – 12:30 Discussion & Pizza Lunch


13:00 – 14:00 Christopher Melhauser -- PhD Oral Comprehensive Exam (529 Walker) "Understanding the Practical Predictability of Tropical Cyclones: Impact of Observations, Data Assimilation Strategy, and Forecast Model on the Prediction of Hurricane Karl (2010)"